Tomasz Tunguz · 23 September 2026 · Industry Analysis

The Most Important Market in AI is the Middle

Tomasz Tunguz, MD @ Theory

AI model pricing is collapsing fastest in the middle market, not at the frontier. Demand follows a normal distribution favoring capability-per-dollar over peak performance, forcing pricing dynamics that could commoditize the entire market as intelligence costs plummet.

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Topics: AI (Horizontal) · AI Infrastructure · Venture Capital & Startups

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