Tomasz Tunguz · 23 August 2026 · Industry Analysis

The AI Bullwhip

Tomasz Tunguz, MD @ Theory

AI infrastructure exhibits classic bullwhip dynamics: demand shocks in GPUs cascade through memory, CPUs, and storage with multi-year lags, locking in higher costs at each stage and risking severe overcapacity when software revenues fail to justify $20B/GW data center buildouts.

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Topics: AI (Horizontal) · Energy & Climate · Defense & Aerospace

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