Investing in AI · 24 September 2026

The 2028 Handoff: Silicon Motion’s (SIMO) Bear Case and Bull Case Arrive in the Same Year

Rob May, GP @ Half Court

Silicon Motion, a memory controller chip maker riding AI-driven NAND shortages, faces a 2028 inflection when new fab capacity comes online—marking either a cyclical peak (bear case) or a transition to higher-margin controller-only businesses (bull case). The stock's 30% discount to highs reflects this uncertainty.

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Topics: Semiconductors · AI Infrastructure

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